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Bloomberg Strategist Calls Bitcoin a ‘Stock Puppet’, No Longer an Independent Hedge

VanEck data show Bitcoin fell 4.1% in 2026 through September, while the S&P 500 gained 12.8%, as BlackRock research offers a different view of the cryptocurrency's role in portfolios

Bloomberg Strategist Calls Bitcoin a ‘Stock Puppet’, No Longer an Independent Hedge

Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone has reiterated his $10,000 Bitcoin price target, calling the cryptocurrency a “complete stock puppet” and arguing that its performance has undermined its role as an independent hedge.

Key Takeaways
  • Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone reiterates a ten-thousand-dollar Bitcoin price target, calling the asset a stock puppet.
  • VanEck reports Bitcoin fell 4.1 percent through September 2026, while the S&P 500 advanced 12.8 percent over the same period.
  • BlackRock research challenges McGlone, finding a two percent Bitcoin allocation improves risk-adjusted returns despite periodic correlation with equity markets.
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In an interview published by Wealthion on October 6, McGlone said Bitcoin had “already flunked the main test this year” after falling while the broader U.S. stock market advanced. He said he had maintained his $10,000 target since Bitcoin traded near $109,000.

Bitcoin reached an all-time high of approximately $126,000 in October 2025 before retreating to around $83,000 at the time of the interview. A fall from that level to McGlone’s target would represent a decline of about 88%. McGlone linked his bearish outlook to what he expects will be a deflationary cycle following the recent period of inflation. He also applied the “stock puppet” description to gold, silver and copper.

McGlone Questions Bitcoin’s Independence From Stocks

McGlone’s argument centers on Bitcoin’s performance when U.S. equities have advanced. He said the cryptocurrency had fallen during a period of gains in the stock market, which he cited as evidence for his bearish outlook.

His $10,000 target remains substantially below Bitcoin’s record high and its price at the time of the interview. The forecast reflects his expectation that a change in the broader economic cycle could put further pressure on asset prices. McGlone said he had maintained the target since Bitcoin traded near $109,000, despite its subsequent rise to a record high in October 2025.

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VanEck Data Show Bitcoin Trailing the S&P 500

VanEck’s September 2026 NODE monthly commentary reported that Bitcoin had fallen 4.1% year to date through September 30, while the S&P 500 had gained 12.8%.

The figures cover the first nine months of 2026. Bitcoin’s performance over that period contrasted with the gains in U.S. equities cited by McGlone during his Wealthion interview.

Bitcoin’s retreat followed its October 2025 record of approximately $126,000. By the time McGlone spoke to Wealthion, the cryptocurrency was trading around $83,000, leaving it well below its previous high.

BlackRock Research Offers a Different View of Bitcoin

BlackRock’s August 17, 2026, paper, Re-Underwriting Bitcoin: Still a Portfolio Diversifier, examined the cryptocurrency’s potential role in investment portfolios. The asset manager described Bitcoin as having a “dual personality,” with its relationship to equities changing across market conditions.

The paper characterized periods of elevated correlation with stocks as episodic rather than structural. Its historical analysis found that adding a 1% to 2% Bitcoin allocation to a traditional portfolio containing 60% stocks and 40% bonds improved risk-adjusted returns over a 10-year period.

A separate BlackRock analysis calculated Bitcoin’s correlation with the S&P 500 at 0.53, using monthly returns from January 2022 through March 2026. The figure reflects the relationship between the two assets over that period.

McGlone continues to forecast $10,000 for Bitcoin and expects a deflationary cycle to weigh on asset prices. BlackRock’s research, meanwhile, found that a limited Bitcoin allocation improved historical risk-adjusted returns in a diversified portfolio. The two assessments reflect different views of Bitcoin’s behavior across market conditions and its potential role in an investment portfolio.

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FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

01

What does the term stock puppet mean regarding Bitcoin?

The term describes an asset whose price movements mimic traditional equity indices rather than acting as an uncorrelated store of value. Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Mike McGlone used the label to describe Bitcoin after it failed to rally alongside equities. The classification challenges the long-standing narrative that cryptocurrency serves as an independent financial hedge.
02

Why does the VanEck performance data matter for crypto portfolio allocations?

The VanEck report highlights divergence between traditional equity growth and cryptocurrency returns in 2026. Data revealed Bitcoin dropped 4.1% through September while the S&P 500 surged 12.8% during the same timeframe. Institutional portfolio managers track these divergent metrics to decide whether to adjust traditional 60/40 exposure models.
03

How did Bitcoin trade between its 2025 peak and the 2026 Wealthion interview?

Bitcoin touched a record high near $126,000 in October 2025 before entering a sustained market retracement. The asset traded near $83,000 when Mike McGlone appeared on the Wealthion network on October 6, 2026. A decline to the analyst target of $10,000 would represent an approximate 88% retreat from current levels.
04

What evidence contradicts the bearish forecast from Mike McGlone?

BlackRock research released on August 17, 2026, demonstrated that Bitcoin correlation to equities remains episodic rather than permanent. The firm found that maintaining a 1% to 2% allocation to Bitcoin enhanced overall risk-adjusted returns over a 10-year holding period. BlackRock calculated the 50-month correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 at 0.53 through March 2026.
05

How do macroeconomic conditions influence the deflation debate around Bitcoin?

Institutional analysts like Mike McGlone expect a broader economic contraction to suppress speculative risk assets along with commodities like copper and silver. Conversely, BlackRock research indicates that macroeconomic dislocations eventually trigger unique monetary demand for decentralized digital assets. Market liquidity conditions will determine whether Bitcoin breaks its equity correlation or suffers deeper cyclical drawdowns.

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Alex Reeve

Alex Reeve is a contributing writer for The Grey Terminal Her articles provide timely insights and analysis across these interconnected industries, including regulatory updates, market trends, token economics, institutional developments, platform innovations, stablecoins, meme coins, policy shifts, and the latest advancements in AI, applications, tools, models, and their broader implications for technology and markets.

○ The views and opinions expressed by the author in this article are her own and do not necessarily reflect the official position of The Grey Terminal, its management, editors, or affiliates. This content is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals before making any decisions related to digital assets, cryptocurrencies, or financial matters. The Grey Terminal and its contributors are not responsible for any losses incurred from reliance on this information.