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Polymarket’s U.S. Push Hit a Payment Wall as Its Processor Rejected Over 80% of Card Deposits

A stolen-card campaign hit thousands of U.S. accounts months after waitlist admissions, while fraud attempts reached at least $10 million.

Polymarket’s U.S. Push Hit a Payment Wall as Its Processor Rejected Over 80% of Card Deposits

In February 2026, Checkout.com rejected more than 80% of the card deposits it handled for Polymarket US as fraudulent at one point, compared with an industry benchmark of roughly 1%, according to a Wall Street Journal investigation. The processor alerted Polymarket after fraudsters linked stolen debit cards to thousands of accounts, funded wagers, and attempted to withdraw money to other cards or accounts.

Key Takeaways
  • Checkout.com rejected over 80% of Polymarket US debit card transactions following an organized multi-million-dollar payment fraud campaign.
  • Fraudulent syndicates attempted to move more than $10 million through thousands of accounts admitted from the domestic waitlist.
  • The Commodity Futures Trading Commission investigates executive compliance decisions following the firing of U.S. CEO Justin Hertzberg.
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The fraudsters tried to move at least $10 million through the platform, the Journal reported. Most attempted deposits failed, according to a person familiar with the episode. About seven users accounted for most of the activity, with one reportedly attempting roughly 4,000 deposits. The figure represents attempted activity, not a confirmed $10 million loss.

Polymarket US had begun admitting users from its waitlist months earlier. The U.S. business operates through QCX LLC, which the Commodity Futures Trading Commission designated as a contract market on July 9, 2025.

The Withdrawal Rule

Polymarket had required deposits made from one payment source to be withdrawn to that same source. The company later loosened the restriction after customers complained about withdrawal delays, according to the Journal.

Employees warned that removing the restriction could increase exposure to financial crime, the Journal reported. Executives maintained that other controls were sufficient, according to people familiar with the discussions.

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The reporting does not establish that loosening the withdrawal rule caused the February fraud attempt.

After Checkout.Com

Separately, The Information reported in June that Visa had pressed Checkout.com to curb fraudulent Polymarket payments. The processor then demanded tighter controls from the platform, according to the report.

Polymarket subsequently limited the number of debit cards users could link to their accounts and hired Riskified, a fraud-prevention company. Fraud rates remained elevated for months but had moved closer to industry norms by May, according to a person familiar with the matter cited by the Journal.

The internal response continued. Andrew Clifford, Polymarket US’s chief compliance officer, resigned in April after sending executives a detailed report about fraud concerns, according to people familiar with the report. The company later fired U.S. CEO Justin Hertzberg, while its U.S. regulation and anti-money-laundering heads also left.

Employees also told the Journal that CEO Shayne Coplan responded to compliance concerns by telling staff to keep growing and deal with any regulatory fine later. Polymarket has not publicly confirmed that account. The company said it has procedures to detect, review, and respond to suspicious activity and cooperates with regulators and law enforcement.

The Journal reported that the CFTC was investigating the company and that employees were instructed to preserve records related to the fraud episode and other matters. The inquiry is not a public finding that Polymarket violated federal law. A separate Sullivan & Cromwell review concluded that Polymarket complied with regulations, according to people familiar with its findings.

For a U.S. prediction market still scaling its customer base, the February spike showed how quickly payment-fraud controls could become a constraint on growth.

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FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

01

What caused the payment processing failure at Polymarket US?

Payment processor Checkout.com flagged an unprecedented surge of stolen debit card transactions on Polymarket US accounts. Fraudsters attempted to deposit over $10 million using compromised payment methods before withdrawing funds to alternate accounts. The failure rate reached 80% compared to standard payment industry transaction fraud benchmarks of roughly 1%.
02

Why does the payment fraud wave matter for prediction market regulation?

The incident highlights anti-money-laundering vulnerabilities in regulated event contract markets operated by entity QCX LLC. Global credit networks like Visa intervened directly by compelling payment gateways to enforce stricter fraud controls. The breakdown underscores the compliance friction consumer prediction platforms face when transitioning into regulated American financial markets.
03

How did Polymarket respond to the Checkout.com fraud warnings?

Polymarket partnered with fraud prevention firm Riskified and restricted the number of debit cards linked per user profile. Platform administrators reinstated strict closed-loop withdrawal protocols to ensure payouts returned solely to original funding sources. Internal fraud metrics stabilized closer toward standard financial industry benchmarks between February and May.
04

What executive fallout occurred inside Polymarket following the fraud spike?

Chief Compliance Officer Andrew Clifford resigned after presenting executive leadership with comprehensive internal risk assessments. The board terminated U.S. Chief Executive Officer Justin Hertzberg while senior regulatory officials simultaneously departed the enterprise. Chief Executive Officer Shayne Coplan faces regulatory scrutiny regarding reported employee directives prioritizing market growth over immediate compliance.
05

How is the CFTC investigating Polymarket payment compliance?

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission ordered company staff to preserve internal communications and transaction ledgers. Federal regulators are examining whether leadership ignored employee warnings regarding altered closed-loop withdrawal restrictions. Outside law firm Sullivan & Cromwell completed an internal compliance review concluding the platform maintained lawful standards.

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Alex Reeve

Alex Reeve is a contributing writer for The Grey Terminal Her articles provide timely insights and analysis across these interconnected industries, including regulatory updates, market trends, token economics, institutional developments, platform innovations, stablecoins, meme coins, policy shifts, and the latest advancements in AI, applications, tools, models, and their broader implications for technology and markets.

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